The density function f_x(t) for a life aged x in continuous time is related to tpx and the force of mortality μ_{x+t}. Which expression correctly represents f_x(t)?

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Multiple Choice

The density function f_x(t) for a life aged x in continuous time is related to tpx and the force of mortality μ_{x+t}. Which expression correctly represents f_x(t)?

Explanation:
Think of the time to death T for a life aged x in terms of hazard and survival. The density f_x(t) is the probability per unit time that death occurs in (t, t+dt), given the person has survived to age x+t. To have a death in that interval, the person must have reached time t alive (probability {}_{t}p_x, or tpx) and then die at rate μ_{x+t} over the small interval dt (probability ≈ μ_{x+t} dt). Multiplying these together gives f_x(t) dt ≈ {}_{t}p_x μ_{x+t} dt, so the density is f_x(t) = {}_{t}p_x μ_{x+t}. Since {}_{t}p_x is tpx, the expression is f_x(t) = tpx · μ_{x+t}. This matches the idea that the instantaneous mortality hazard at age x+t, scaled by the probability of having survived to that age, yields the density of the time of death. The other forms don’t align with how a density is constructed from survival and hazard: they mix terms incorrectly or use the survival function itself rather than the hazard-weighted survival.

Think of the time to death T for a life aged x in terms of hazard and survival. The density f_x(t) is the probability per unit time that death occurs in (t, t+dt), given the person has survived to age x+t. To have a death in that interval, the person must have reached time t alive (probability {}{t}p_x, or tpx) and then die at rate μ{x+t} over the small interval dt (probability ≈ μ_{x+t} dt). Multiplying these together gives f_x(t) dt ≈ {}{t}p_x μ{x+t} dt, so the density is f_x(t) = {}{t}p_x μ{x+t}. Since {}{t}p_x is tpx, the expression is f_x(t) = tpx · μ{x+t}.

This matches the idea that the instantaneous mortality hazard at age x+t, scaled by the probability of having survived to that age, yields the density of the time of death. The other forms don’t align with how a density is constructed from survival and hazard: they mix terms incorrectly or use the survival function itself rather than the hazard-weighted survival.

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